Rainfall - Runoff Modelling: The Primer

Copertina anteriore
John Wiley & Sons, 2003 - 360 pagine
Amid climatic changes linked to global warming, on-going changes in land-use patterns, and growing concern with hydrology as an international issue, it is increasingly important to understand the potential impact of these changes on the water environment. Rainfall-runoff modeling is an important predictor of that impact.

This book provides a summary of the development of rainfall-runoff models, giving examples of their practical applications. It introduces the different techniques for rainfall-runoff modeling, based upon the most recent research, but in a way that serves as a primer for the subject.

  • Provides an overview of how catchment rainfall-runoff systems work
  • A history of rainfall-runoff models
  • Examples of models which can be downloaded over the Internet
  • Looks at uncertainty in model prediction
 

Sommario

Survival of the Fittest?
25
Data for RainfallRunoff Modelling 533 335
53
Predicting Hydrographs Using Models Based on Data
85
63
177
Hydrological Similarity and Distribution Function
179
1 The SCS Curve Number Model Revisited
203
73
204
Parameter Estimation and Predictive Uncertainty
217
1
275
Predicting the Effects of Change
277
Revisiting the Problem of Model Choice
297
Appendix A Demonstration Software
307
Appendix B Glossary of Terms
315
References
323
2 Use of Transfer Functions to Infer Effective Rainfalls
326
Index
355

Predicting Floods
255

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Pagina vii - HAGGETT and RJ CHORLEY Models are undeniably beautiful, and a man may justly be proud to be seen in their company. But they may have their hidden vices. The question is, after all, not only whether they are good to look at, but whether we can live happily with them.
Pagina 345 - ... Burt (eds), Hydrological Forecasting (Chichester: John Wiley and Sons), 1-13. Beven, KJ, 2003, On environmental models of everywhere on the GRID, Hydrological Processes, 17, 171-174. Kalnay, E. 2002, Atmospheric Modeling, Data Assimilation and Predictability (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press). Sherman, LK, 1932, Streamflow from rainfall by unit-graph method, Engineering News Record, 108, 501-505.
Pagina 326 - Calder IR (1996) Dependence of rainfall interception on drop size: 1. Development of the two-layer stochastic model. Journal of Hydrology 185: 363-378. Calder IR, Harding RJ and Rosier PTW (1 983) An objective assessment of soil moisture deficit models.

Informazioni sull'autore (2003)

Keith Beven wrote his first hydrological model as an undergraduate in 1970, trying to predict the runoff generation on Exmoor during the Lynmouth flood. Since then, he has been involved with many of the major rainfall-runoff modelling innovations, including TOPMODEL, the Système Hydrologique Europèen (SHE) model, the Institute of Hydrology Distributed Model (IHDM), and Data-based mechanistic modelling (DBM). In 1991 he was awarded the American Geophysical Union Horton Award for fundamental contributions to the understanding and prediction of runoff production, particularly the role of topography and soil structure, in natural catchments. He has been Professor of Hydrology and Fluid Dynamics at Lancaster University since 1992.

Informazioni bibliografiche