Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-3 di 69
... decline in output in other sectors . According to these figures , industrial output fell by nearly two - thirds between 1992 and 1996 , and construction activity declined by almost as much . Taking construction as a proxy for investment ...
... decline in income . It reflects an " entitlement failure " that Sen ( 1981 ) argues is characteristic of many famines . Sen identified the problem as a catastrophic decline in the incomes or entitlements of vulnerable groups rather than ...
... decline in output can be attributed to flood - related declines in agriculture , then what explains the rest ? Scenario 2 addresses the main distortion in the model , the severe repres- sion of international trade . The gravity model ...
Sommario
Introduction 1347 | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
Copyright | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |