Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
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... growth of world markets during the postwar period . The resultant changes in the composition of trade were astounding . In 1963 , non - fuel primary products accounted for fully half of South Korea's total exports , and the third ...
... growth ( percent ) 20 Real GDP growth forecast 6- 10 Expected real exchange rate change 5- 0 3 2- 1 . -10 -20 -30 -40 5/97 6/97 7/97 8/97 9/97 10/97 11/97 12/97 1/98 2/97 3/97 4/97 Source : Noland , Liu , Robinson , and Wang 1999 ...
... growth of the two economies was set exogenously , based on the basis of economically active labor force projections released by the Ministry of National Unifica- tion . TFP growth rates were set exogenously on the basis of econometric ...
Sommario
Introduction 1347 | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
Copyright | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |