Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-3 di 61
... reported by the North Koreans : they estimate life expectancy for 1992 to be 69.5 years ( versus the reported figure of 70.7 ) , the infant mortality rate to be 29.5 per thousand ( versus 25 ) , and the total fertility rate to be 2.4 ...
... reported in table 3.8 and an implausible pattern of estimated coefficients . The projected estimate of North Korean per capita income from this regression was $ 1394 , lower than the estimate reported in table 3.9 , but within the 90 ...
... reported by North Korea's trade and investment partners can be used to deduce North Korea's external transactions . This data is subject to considerable uncertainty : the figures reported here are based on partner country submissions to ...
Sommario
Introduction 1347 | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
Copyright | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |