Sensitivity Analysis in Practice: A Guide to Assessing Scientific Models

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John Wiley & Sons, 16 lug 2004 - 232 pagine
Sensitivity analysis should be considered a pre-requisite for statistical model building in any scientific discipline where modelling takes place. For a non-expert, choosing the method of analysis for their model is complex, and depends on a number of factors. This book guides the non-expert through their problem in order to enable them to choose and apply the most appropriate method. It offers a review of the state-of-the-art in sensitivity analysis, and is suitable for a wide range of practitioners. It is focussed on the use of SIMLAB – a widely distributed freely-available sensitivity analysis software package developed by the authors – for solving problems in sensitivity analysis of statistical models.

Other key features:

  • Provides an accessible overview of the current most widely used methods for sensitivity analysis.
  • Opens with a detailed worked example to explain the motivation behind the book.
  • Includes a range of examples to help illustrate the concepts discussed.
  • Focuses on implementation of the methods in the software SIMLAB - a freely-available sensitivity analysis software package developed by the authors.
  • Contains a large number of references to sources for further reading.
  • Authored by the leading authorities on sensitivity analysis.
 

Sommario

1 A WORKED EXAMPLE
1
2 GLOBAL SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS FOR IMPORTANCE ASSESSMENT
31
3 TEST CASES
63
4 THE SCREENING EXERCISE
91
5 METHODS BASED ON DECOMPOSING THE VARIANCE OF THE OUTPUT
109
6 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN DIAGNOSTIC MODELLING MONTE CARLO FILTERING AND REGIONALISED SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS B...
151
7 HOW TO USE SIMLAB
193
8 FAMOUS QUOTES SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS IN THE SCIENTIFIC DISCOURSE
205
REFERENCES
211
INDEX
217
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Informazioni sull'autore (2004)

Andrea Saltelli, Joint Research Centre of the European Commission, Ispra, Unit of Applied Statistics and Econometrics. Presently leading the Econometric and Applied Statistics Unit of the Joint Research Centre, lead author Professor Saltelli has published many articles in numerous journals over the last 30 years. He is also the main author and main editor of two previous books (both for Wiley).

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