Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-5 di 66
Pagina xii
... activities will contribute to building a stronger foundation for international economic policy around the world. We invite readers of these publications to let us know how they think we can best accomplish this objective. C. Fred ...
... activities will contribute to building a stronger foundation for international economic policy around the world. We invite readers of these publications to let us know how they think we can best accomplish this objective. C. Fred ...
Pagina xxii
... activities were justified only by the owner-managers' relationship with the state. The result was the development of a symbiotic relationship between the state on the one hand and the giant chaebol on the other.9 This system has been ...
... activities were justified only by the owner-managers' relationship with the state. The result was the development of a symbiotic relationship between the state on the one hand and the giant chaebol on the other.9 This system has been ...
Pagina xxvi
... activities perhaps give some indication of the country's future course. North Korea could continue a strategy of attempting to extort resources out of the rest of the world, offering to abandon weapons development and export while ...
... activities perhaps give some indication of the country's future course. North Korea could continue a strategy of attempting to extort resources out of the rest of the world, offering to abandon weapons development and export while ...
Pagina xxxi
... activities. These policies, together with an export-import-link 1. See Jones and SaKong (1980) and Woo (1991) for examples. 2. SaKong (1993) and Cho (1994) both provide excellent overviews of postwar South Korean economic development ...
... activities. These policies, together with an export-import-link 1. See Jones and SaKong (1980) and Woo (1991) for examples. 2. SaKong (1993) and Cho (1994) both provide excellent overviews of postwar South Korean economic development ...
Pagina l
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Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United