Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-5 di 92
Pagina vii
... exports by largest commodity groups, 1997 92 Table 3.12b North Korean imports by largest commodity groups, 1997 92 Table 3.13 Aid from the USSR 96 Table 3.14 Aid balance sheet 122 Table 3.15 Estimated remittances 132 Table 4.1 KEDO ...
... exports by largest commodity groups, 1997 92 Table 3.12b North Korean imports by largest commodity groups, 1997 92 Table 3.13 Aid from the USSR 96 Table 3.14 Aid balance sheet 122 Table 3.15 Estimated remittances 132 Table 4.1 KEDO ...
Pagina viii
... Exports and imports as a share of nominal GDP Unionized workers and labor disputes Number of days required for ... export ratio North Korean debt prices in the secondary market Number of South Koreans who visited the North Saving ...
... Exports and imports as a share of nominal GDP Unionized workers and labor disputes Number of days required for ... export ratio North Korean debt prices in the secondary market Number of South Koreans who visited the North Saving ...
Pagina xx
... exporting increasingly long-range ballistic missiles. Again, there are multiple interpretations. North Korea could have seen the development of missiles as enhancing deterrence on the peninsula, despite the fact that its 10,000 forward ...
... exporting increasingly long-range ballistic missiles. Again, there are multiple interpretations. North Korea could have seen the development of missiles as enhancing deterrence on the peninsula, despite the fact that its 10,000 forward ...
Pagina xxi
... exports were one of its few sources of hard currency earnings. But, as one former high-ranking US official put it, ''the missiles only make sense if you have something to put on top of them.'' This was not idle speculation. By the early ...
... exports were one of its few sources of hard currency earnings. But, as one former high-ranking US official put it, ''the missiles only make sense if you have something to put on top of them.'' This was not idle speculation. By the early ...
Pagina xxii
... export prices fell, expectations of future corporate earnings were revised downward, and the prices of stock market shares and land fell. With the combined falls in export and asset prices, the. 9. As Leipziger and Petri (1993) ...
... export prices fell, expectations of future corporate earnings were revised downward, and the prices of stock market shares and land fell. With the combined falls in export and asset prices, the. 9. As Leipziger and Petri (1993) ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
Altre edizioni - Visualizza tutto
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United