Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-5 di 72
Pagina vi
... Financial Crisis in the South Financial Frugality The Bubble Story The Crisis Post-Crisis Developments Recovery Conclusions 7 The Prospect of Successful Reform in the North Reform in the North A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform ...
... Financial Crisis in the South Financial Frugality The Bubble Story The Crisis Post-Crisis Developments Recovery Conclusions 7 The Prospect of Successful Reform in the North Reform in the North A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform ...
Pagina xi
... Economic Integration of the Korean Peninsula, edited by Senior Fellow Marcus Noland. The Asian financial crisis, which shook South Korea later that year, then called into question both South Korea's willingness and capacity to manage ...
... Economic Integration of the Korean Peninsula, edited by Senior Fellow Marcus Noland. The Asian financial crisis, which shook South Korea later that year, then called into question both South Korea's willingness and capacity to manage ...
Pagina xxii
... financial crisis in late 1997. The crisis had its roots in a development model characterized by considerable government intervention in the economy. While this approach may have been reasonable for a late developer playing technological ...
... financial crisis in late 1997. The crisis had its roots in a development model characterized by considerable government intervention in the economy. While this approach may have been reasonable for a late developer playing technological ...
Pagina xxiii
... Bank of Thailand severed the Thai baht's link to the US dollar, setting off the Asian financial crisis. As the summer progressed, conditions in South Korea worsened both internally and externally. The South Korean won, which was ...
... Bank of Thailand severed the Thai baht's link to the US dollar, setting off the Asian financial crisis. As the summer progressed, conditions in South Korea worsened both internally and externally. The South Korean won, which was ...
Pagina xxix
... crises that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today—the North Korean nuclear confrontation, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. Again, although South Korea's influence on the nuclear confrontation ...
... crises that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today—the North Korean nuclear confrontation, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. Again, although South Korea's influence on the nuclear confrontation ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
Altre edizioni - Visualizza tutto
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United