Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-5 di 80
Pagina xxiv
... increase in exposure to international trade and investment (much of this with South. 8 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE 10 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE 11. Former Defense Secretary William Perry, Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.
... increase in exposure to international trade and investment (much of this with South. 8 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE 10 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE 11. Former Defense Secretary William Perry, Institute for International Economics | http://www.iie.
Pagina xxxv
... increased in scale. The government began attempting to orchestrate enormous capital-intensive projects, playing the chaebol off against each other while contending with the effects of the first Organization of Petroleum Exporting ...
... increased in scale. The government began attempting to orchestrate enormous capital-intensive projects, playing the chaebol off against each other while contending with the effects of the first Organization of Petroleum Exporting ...
Pagina xxxviii
... increase, and in the fall of 1979 rioting occurred in Pusan and Masan—cities where rioting had preceded the fall of the Rhee government in April 1960—prompting the economic technocrats to formulate a stabilization plan. Economic. Policy.
... increase, and in the fall of 1979 rioting occurred in Pusan and Masan—cities where rioting had preceded the fall of the Rhee government in April 1960—prompting the economic technocrats to formulate a stabilization plan. Economic. Policy.
Pagina xlv
... increased 4 percent annually between 1960 and 1973, with 1.6 percentage points of this explained by human capital accumulation and the remaining 2.4 percentage points a pure productivity increase. Looking at a slightly longer and more ...
... increased 4 percent annually between 1960 and 1973, with 1.6 percentage points of this explained by human capital accumulation and the remaining 2.4 percentage points a pure productivity increase. Looking at a slightly longer and more ...
Pagina xlvii
... increased borrowing made further borrowing advantageous under the ''too big to fail'' notion promoted by the ... increase in share was positively associated with chaebol size. The share of national output accounted for by the top ...
... increased borrowing made further borrowing advantageous under the ''too big to fail'' notion promoted by the ... increase in share was positively associated with chaebol size. The share of national output accounted for by the top ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
Altre edizioni - Visualizza tutto
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United