Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-5 di 34
Pagina viii
... costs of unification Romanian macroeconomic indicators Financial development Real interest rates Share of GDP due to top 10 chaebol Purchasing power adjusted real GDP per capita Structure of output Exports and imports as a share of ...
... costs of unification Romanian macroeconomic indicators Financial development Real interest rates Share of GDP due to top 10 chaebol Purchasing power adjusted real GDP per capita Structure of output Exports and imports as a share of ...
Pagina xxxi
... interest rates (Cho 1994). The results were misallocation of capital and recurrent balance of payments crises. The trade regime was characterized by considerable barriers, including an import licensing system and multiple exchange rates ...
... interest rates (Cho 1994). The results were misallocation of capital and recurrent balance of payments crises. The trade regime was characterized by considerable barriers, including an import licensing system and multiple exchange rates ...
Pagina xxxii
... interest rates inhibited the development of the banking sector (which was permitted little freedom from government control) and encouraged the channeling of capital to large politically influential borrowers. As the prominent South ...
... interest rates inhibited the development of the banking sector (which was permitted little freedom from government control) and encouraged the channeling of capital to large politically influential borrowers. As the prominent South ...
Pagina xxxiv
... interest rates were raised, encouraging saving and financial deepening as well as more efficient use of capital. The national saving rate doubled in five years, and the ratio of M2 (a broad definition of the money supply) to GNP nearly ...
... interest rates were raised, encouraging saving and financial deepening as well as more efficient use of capital. The national saving rate doubled in five years, and the ratio of M2 (a broad definition of the money supply) to GNP nearly ...
Pagina xxxv
... interest rates, and the annual interest subsidy grew from about 3 percent of GNP in 1962-71 to approximately 10 percent of GNP on average between 1972 and 1979 (Pyo 1989). The detrimental impact of credit rationing was moderated by ...
... interest rates, and the annual interest subsidy grew from about 3 percent of GNP in 1962-71 to approximately 10 percent of GNP on average between 1972 and 1979 (Pyo 1989). The detrimental impact of credit rationing was moderated by ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
Altre edizioni - Visualizza tutto
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]: The ... Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United