Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas
Institute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
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However , as seen below , subsequent pronouncements appear to have backed
away from this : while restoring ... of Kim Il - sung appear to be more skeptical
with regard to international economic relations , and there appears to be a
The devaluation appears to have simply ratified what was already occurring . ...
Regulations regarding overtime do not appear to have been codified and , given
the low level of economic activity at this time , are of little immediate relevance .
A US intelligence official with longstanding expertise on North Korea has
indicated that Kim appears to depend increasingly on the military to govern ,
while the Korean Workers ' Party withers . This suggests at least three
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The South Korean Economy until 1997
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