Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas
Institute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
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Economic Relations with China Historically , China was North Korea's second
most important patron , supplying it with nearly $ 900 million in assistance
between 1948 and 1984 ( Hwang 1993 , table 5.4 ) .55 With common interests in
... Japan had substantial reserve grain stocks . Plus , it would be less humiliating
to accept assistance from Japan ( which could be portrayed as a kind of
reparations ) than from rival South Korea ( which had smaller reserves , in any
event ) ...
Eventually , agreement was reached that South Korea and Japan would jointly
provide assistance to North Korea.30 According to the plan , South Korea would
provide North Korea with 150,000 tons of rice in unmarked bags , while Japan ...
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The South Korean Economy until 1997
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