Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-3 di 77
... collapse of the North Korean state and its absorption into South Korea ; and an intermedi- ate scenario of " muddling through " in which North Korea makes a series of regime - preserving reforms short of the fundamental transformation ...
... collapse on the Korean peninsula that did not occur as smoothly as East Germany's might imply . 1. See Ahn ( 1998 ) and Pollack and Lee ( 1999 ) for a careful analysis of how a North Korean collapse might come about . The German ...
... Collapse and Absorption Noland , Robinson , and Wang ( 2000c ) extend the computable general equi- librium ( CGE ) model described in the previous chapter to ... COLLAPSE 301 A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption.
Sommario
Introduction | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
Copyright | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |