Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas
Institute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
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... Table 8.3 298 Table 8.4 308 Table 9.1 Romanian macroeconomic indicators
328 18 20 21 Figures Figure 2.1 Figure 2.2 Figure 2.3 Figure 2.4 Figure 2.5
Figure 2.6 Figure 2.7 Figure 2.8 25 26 Financial development Real interest rates
Figure 2.4 Purchasing power adjusted real GDP per capita US dollars ( constant
1985 international prices ) 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 0 1953
1958 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 Source : Summers and Heston 1991 ...
The most widely cited figures come from the BOK , which puts out the official
South Korean estimates of North Korea's ... Moreover , the ultimate growth rate
figure is reportedly subject to interagency bargaining within the South Korean ...
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The South Korean Economy until 1997
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