Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasInstitute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
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... military than any other country in the world . ACDA puts this at 28.6 percent of GDP , though this would seem to be a stunningly precise estimate.20 Although the economic crisis of the 1990s has resulted in some reduction in military ...
... military stockpiling is critical , since it gets at the heart of North Korea's intentions and enormously complicates ... military opposed aid on the grounds that it could be used by hostile powers to " destroy our political system ...
... military to govern . As Ahn ( 1998 ) observes , 38 of his 58 public appearances in 1996 and 39 of 59 public appearances in 1997 were military - related , and military figures are increasingly prominent in the government hierarchy ...
Sommario
Introduction | 1 |
References | 5 |
The South Korean Economy until 1997 | 15 |
Copyright | |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |