Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas
Institute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
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On 16 June 1998 , the North Koreans admitted what the world had long
suspected : that North Korea exports missiles . ... Robert Einhorn , the chief US
negotiator at the missile talks , reportedly described North Korea as the world's
number one ...
As CIA Director George Tenet had testified before Congress , that missile could
deliver small payloads to the ... In particular , South Korea has used the North
Korean action as a justification for developing missiles with ranges up to 500 ...
In fact , despite its collapsing economy , some regard the North Korean
government strategy as masterful in that it has convincingly parlayed uncertainty
about its nuclear and missile capabilities and converted a big hole in the ground
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The South Korean Economy until 1997
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