Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas
Institute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
Risultati 1-3 di 82
We must heighten vigilance against the imperialists ' moves to induce us to '
reform ' and ' opening to the outside world . ' ' Reform ' and ' opening ' on their lips
are a honey - coated poison . Clear is our stand toward “ reform ' and ' opening .
hand , then the regime will be forced to make a choice of whether to accelerate
and widen the reforms or to stand pat and try ... We begin by examining what
successful reform might entail and the prospective economic payoffs to this
In the latter case , rapid reform might well be more sustainable since , while it
would generate dislocation , it would be less likely to ... Moreover , in the case of
China , the introduction of reforms in 1978 followed a period of falling incomes
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The South Korean Economy until 1997
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