Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas
Institute for International Economics, 2000 - 431 pagine
On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden-and possibly nuclear-armed-totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation.
Risultati 1-3 di 79
Both of these developments could be expected to have enormous political
implications and could present significant , perhaps insurmountable , obstacles to
reform under the current regime . As an alternative , the regime could stand pat
For one thing , there would be a reallocation of factors according to comparative
advantage . If reform were accompanied by a reduction of political hostilities with
the South , there could also be a significant demobilization of the military and a ...
Finally , international organizations could have a significant impact on the Korean
peninsula . Technically , the current division of the peninsula reflects the UN -
supervised armistice agreement , which ended fighting during the Korean War ...
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The South Korean Economy until 1997
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