Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 1-5 di 62
Pagina vi
... Famine in the North 151 The Food Balance Food for Peace The People's Republic of Misery 6 The Financial Crisis in the South Financial Frugality The Bubble Story The Crisis Post - Crisis Developments Recovery Conclusions 7 The Prospect ...
... Famine in the North 151 The Food Balance Food for Peace The People's Republic of Misery 6 The Financial Crisis in the South Financial Frugality The Bubble Story The Crisis Post - Crisis Developments Recovery Conclusions 7 The Prospect ...
Pagina xi
... famine in North Korea , have dramatically raised the ante on the Korean peninsula . In recognition of these changing circumstances , in September 1997 we hosted a major international conference about issues on the Korean peninsula and ...
... famine in North Korea , have dramatically raised the ante on the Korean peninsula . In recognition of these changing circumstances , in September 1997 we hosted a major international conference about issues on the Korean peninsula and ...
Pagina xii
... famine , and the South Korean financial disruption ) that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today . Noland analyzes possible future developments in terms of three scenar- ios : successful reform in the North , its collapse and ...
... famine , and the South Korean financial disruption ) that frame the situation on the Korean peninsula today . Noland analyzes possible future developments in terms of three scenar- ios : successful reform in the North , its collapse and ...
Pagina 5
... famine that may have claimed roughly 10 percent of the precrisis population . As demonstrated in chapter 5 , the famine was a product of decades of economic mismanage- ment , and actually preceded the highly publicized natural disasters ...
... famine that may have claimed roughly 10 percent of the precrisis population . As demonstrated in chapter 5 , the famine was a product of decades of economic mismanage- ment , and actually preceded the highly publicized natural disasters ...
Pagina 8
... famine . Reform of the North Korean economy would have two profound effects : first , there would be a significant increase in exposure to international trade and investment ( much of this with 8 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE.
... famine . Reform of the North Korean economy would have two profound effects : first , there would be a significant increase in exposure to international trade and investment ( much of this with 8 AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE.
Sommario
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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