Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
Dall'interno del libro
Pagina vii
... agricultural NTBs , 1992 41 Table 2.3 Producer subsidy equivalents , 1997 43 Table 2.4 Effective and nominal rates of protection , selected sectors , 1990 44 Table 3.1 North Korea's central plans 66 Table 3.2 Composition of output ...
... agricultural NTBs , 1992 41 Table 2.3 Producer subsidy equivalents , 1997 43 Table 2.4 Effective and nominal rates of protection , selected sectors , 1990 44 Table 3.1 North Korea's central plans 66 Table 3.2 Composition of output ...
Pagina viii
... agricultural products 45 Figure 2.9 Foreign direct investment 51 Figure 3.1 Estimates of North Korean GDP 80 Figure 3.2 North Korean trade 89 Figure 3.3 North Koran arms trade 93 Figure 3.4 Figure 3.5 Figure 3.6 North Korean debt and ...
... agricultural products 45 Figure 2.9 Foreign direct investment 51 Figure 3.1 Estimates of North Korean GDP 80 Figure 3.2 North Korean trade 89 Figure 3.3 North Koran arms trade 93 Figure 3.4 Figure 3.5 Figure 3.6 North Korean debt and ...
Pagina ix
... Agriculture 64 Box 3.3 Black , Brown , and Blue Won 69 Box 3.4 Deadbeat Debtor 95 Box 3.5 The Narco - state 120 Box 5.1 Crying Wolf ? 176 Box 5.2 The Issue of Military Stockpiling 178 Box 5.3 " 9/27 Camps " 183 Box 5.4 Refugees 189 Box ...
... Agriculture 64 Box 3.3 Black , Brown , and Blue Won 69 Box 3.4 Deadbeat Debtor 95 Box 3.5 The Narco - state 120 Box 5.1 Crying Wolf ? 176 Box 5.2 The Issue of Military Stockpiling 178 Box 5.3 " 9/27 Camps " 183 Box 5.4 Refugees 189 Box ...
Pagina 9
... agricultural sector and the populace's coping mechanisms . Third , previ- ous socialist country famines have largely been precipitated by the intro- duction of counterproductive policies , and could be solved relatively ...
... agricultural sector and the populace's coping mechanisms . Third , previ- ous socialist country famines have largely been precipitated by the intro- duction of counterproductive policies , and could be solved relatively ...
Pagina 15
... agricultural sector , but these were undermined by the government's policy of " three lows " —low grain prices , a low ( i.e. , overvalued ) exchange rate , and low interest rates ( Cho 1994 ) . The results were misallocation of capital ...
... agricultural sector , but these were undermined by the government's policy of " three lows " —low grain prices , a low ( i.e. , overvalued ) exchange rate , and low interest rates ( Cho 1994 ) . The results were misallocation of capital ...
Sommario
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program