Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 6-10 di 53
Pagina xxxvii
... chaebol percentage 30 2505 NANA 10 15 20 1973 1978 19831988 Source: SaKong 1993, table A.21. manufacturing sector ... chaebol could undertake ever larger investments, confident that the government would not permit large projects in ...
... chaebol percentage 30 2505 NANA 10 15 20 1973 1978 19831988 Source: SaKong 1993, table A.21. manufacturing sector ... chaebol could undertake ever larger investments, confident that the government would not permit large projects in ...
Pagina xl
... chaebol heavily involved in shipbuilding, machinery, and other sectors of excessive investment (Leipziger and Petri 1993). Moreover, by 1986 the negative external shocks of the early 1980s had been reversed, and the South Korean economy ...
... chaebol heavily involved in shipbuilding, machinery, and other sectors of excessive investment (Leipziger and Petri 1993). Moreover, by 1986 the negative external shocks of the early 1980s had been reversed, and the South Korean economy ...
Pagina xlvi
... chaebol. In positive terms, such organizations might be considered an institutional response to conditions of scarce managerial or human capital and limited financial markets. This organizational form could also have been derived from ...
... chaebol. In positive terms, such organizations might be considered an institutional response to conditions of scarce managerial or human capital and limited financial markets. This organizational form could also have been derived from ...
Pagina xlvii
... chaebol accounted for a steadily rising share of national output from the early 1970s to the mid 1980s. Moreover, the increase in share was positively associated with chaebol size. The share of national output accounted for by the top ...
... chaebol accounted for a steadily rising share of national output from the early 1970s to the mid 1980s. Moreover, the increase in share was positively associated with chaebol size. The share of national output accounted for by the top ...
Pagina xlviii
... chaebol (founded in 1967), grew an astonishing 54 percent annually during this period (E.M. Kim 1997).27 At the time of Daewoo's collapse in 1999, it alone reportedly accounted for 5 percent of South Korean GDP. Economic policymakers ...
... chaebol (founded in 1967), grew an astonishing 54 percent annually during this period (E.M. Kim 1997).27 At the time of Daewoo's collapse in 1999, it alone reportedly accounted for 5 percent of South Korean GDP. Economic policymakers ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United