Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 6-10 di 56
Pagina xxv
... famines earlier in this century. First, unlike the others, the Kim Jong-il government is not a revolutionary regime, but the dynastic continuation of one that has now held power for more than 50 years. Surely, neither this government ...
... famines earlier in this century. First, unlike the others, the Kim Jong-il government is not a revolutionary regime, but the dynastic continuation of one that has now held power for more than 50 years. Surely, neither this government ...
Pagina xxvi
... famine does not even distinguish North Korea—contemporaneous situations in Africa are as bad, if not worse. Rather, North Korea's ability to extract such resources from the world community is intimately related to the threat it poses ...
... famine does not even distinguish North Korea—contemporaneous situations in Africa are as bad, if not worse. Rather, North Korea's ability to extract such resources from the world community is intimately related to the threat it poses ...
Pagina xxix
... famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. Again, although South Korea's influence on the nuclear confrontation and famine are not inconsiderable, in an immediate sense, neither of the Koreas plays a central role in the crises ...
... famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. Again, although South Korea's influence on the nuclear confrontation and famine are not inconsiderable, in an immediate sense, neither of the Koreas plays a central role in the crises ...
Pagina lxxix
Hai raggiunto il limite di visualizzazione per questo libro.
Hai raggiunto il limite di visualizzazione per questo libro.
Pagina lxxx
Hai raggiunto il limite di visualizzazione per questo libro.
Hai raggiunto il limite di visualizzazione per questo libro.
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
Altre edizioni - Visualizza tutto
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United