Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 6-10 di 83
Pagina 1
... percent ; petroleum , 11.7 percent ; gas , 18.3 percent ; water , 13.5 percent ; nuclear , 12.2 percent ; and other , 0.6 percent . Statistics on year- end capacity , by energy source , as shown in Table 1 , reflect the significant ...
... percent ; petroleum , 11.7 percent ; gas , 18.3 percent ; water , 13.5 percent ; nuclear , 12.2 percent ; and other , 0.6 percent . Statistics on year- end capacity , by energy source , as shown in Table 1 , reflect the significant ...
Pagina 9
... percent in the check plat , to five percent with three applications ; in 1914 from fourteen percent to two percent ; and in 1915 from seventy - one percent to ten percent . On Grimes Golden in 1913 , the scab was reduced from thirty ...
... percent in the check plat , to five percent with three applications ; in 1914 from fourteen percent to two percent ; and in 1915 from seventy - one percent to ten percent . On Grimes Golden in 1913 , the scab was reduced from thirty ...
Pagina 13
... percent ) are aliens , while in 1988 BOP confined 10,647 aliens - 21 percent of the then total Federal prison population of 50,553.6 The five States most heavily burdened by alien prisoners , according to a 1992 survey by the National ...
... percent ) are aliens , while in 1988 BOP confined 10,647 aliens - 21 percent of the then total Federal prison population of 50,553.6 The five States most heavily burdened by alien prisoners , according to a 1992 survey by the National ...
Pagina xix
... Percent hydrogen 4.25 4.2409 4.25 Percent nitrogen 5.36 5.3573 5.36 Percent Sulfur 49.00 49.0555 49.05 ERKLARUNGEN ZU DEN TABELLEN DIE Verbindungen sind in alphabetischer Reihenfolge. When the appropriate factor is multiplied by the ...
... Percent hydrogen 4.25 4.2409 4.25 Percent nitrogen 5.36 5.3573 5.36 Percent Sulfur 49.00 49.0555 49.05 ERKLARUNGEN ZU DEN TABELLEN DIE Verbindungen sind in alphabetischer Reihenfolge. When the appropriate factor is multiplied by the ...
Pagina xx
... percent know about the IUD and 68 percent know about male sterilization . On aver- age , currently married women know eight meth- ods of family planning . Use of Contraception . The contraceptive prevalence rate ( CPR ) among currently ...
... percent know about the IUD and 68 percent know about male sterilization . On aver- age , currently married women know eight meth- ods of family planning . Use of Contraception . The contraceptive prevalence rate ( CPR ) among currently ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
Altre edizioni - Visualizza tutto
Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United