Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two KoreasColumbia University Press, 1 giu 2000 - 456 pagine On the Korean peninsula one of the greatest success stories of the postwar era confronts a famine-ridden—and possibly nuclear-armed—totalitarian state. The stakes are extraordinarily high for both North and South Korea and for countries such as the United States that have a direct stake in these affairs. This study, the most comprehensive volume to date on the subject, examines the current situation in the two Koreas in terms of three major crises: the nuclear confrontation between the United States and North Korea, the North Korean famine, and the South Korean financial crisis. The future of the peninsula is then explored under three alternative scenarios: successful reform in North Korea, collapse and absorption (as happened in Germany), and "muddling through" in which North Korea, supported by foreign powers, makes ad hoc, regime-preserving reforms that fall short of fundamental transformation. |
Dall'interno del libro
Risultati 6-10 di 85
Pagina xxvii
... reform, for example, have a two steps forward, one step back character. But the question remains whether its system-preserving reforms in the form of tourism projects, mining enclaves, and special economic zones will be sufficient to ...
... reform, for example, have a two steps forward, one step back character. But the question remains whether its system-preserving reforms in the form of tourism projects, mining enclaves, and special economic zones will be sufficient to ...
Pagina xxviii
... reform of North Korea; collapse of the North Korean state and its absorption into South Korea; and an intermediate scenario of ''muddling through'' in which North Korea makes a series of regime-preserving reforms short of the ...
... reform of North Korea; collapse of the North Korean state and its absorption into South Korea; and an intermediate scenario of ''muddling through'' in which North Korea makes a series of regime-preserving reforms short of the ...
Pagina xxix
... reform appears to be the least likely eventuality. Either way, the status quo is not viable in the long-run. Maintenance of North Korea as an independent state would involve varying mixes of domestic economic reform and external support ...
... reform appears to be the least likely eventuality. Either way, the status quo is not viable in the long-run. Maintenance of North Korea as an independent state would involve varying mixes of domestic economic reform and external support ...
Pagina xxxi
... reform in the North), a major land reform was carried out in the South in 1954. This led to productivity gains in the agricultural sector, but these were undermined by the government's policy of ''three lows''—low grain prices, a low ...
... reform in the North), a major land reform was carried out in the South in 1954. This led to productivity gains in the agricultural sector, but these were undermined by the government's policy of ''three lows''—low grain prices, a low ...
Pagina xl
... reform, never great, slackened. The. Democracy. Pledge. and. Twenty-five. Years. of. Development. Rising expectations politically and economically circumscribed Chun's room to maneuver. Ironically, the groundbreaking for authoritarian ...
... reform, never great, slackened. The. Democracy. Pledge. and. Twenty-five. Years. of. Development. Rising expectations politically and economically circumscribed Chun's room to maneuver. Ironically, the groundbreaking for authoritarian ...
Sommario
xi | |
xv | |
xvii | |
xxxi | |
The North Korean Economy | lxxv |
The Nuclear Confrontation | 3-74 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 3-102 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 3-126 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 3-182 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 285 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 323 |
Conclusions | 347 |
References | 377 |
Appendix | 401 |
Index
| 405 |
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Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www] Noland, Marcus Anteprima limitata - 2000 |
Parole e frasi comuni
activities agencies Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets AVOIDING THE APOCALYPSE capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial crisis financial sector firms foreign Fund government’s Hanbo humanitarian Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KEDO KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula labor liberalization loans ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors reform regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government technological convergence tion tons trade unification United