Avoiding the Apocalypse: The Future of the Two Koreas [ISBN not on www]Peterson Institute, 2000 |
Dall'interno del libro
Pagina 21
... percent and 121 percent , respectively , of the targets for the entire period , while textiles and other light industries received only 50 percent and 42 percent , respec- tively , of their planned investment ( Balassa 1990 ) . These ...
... percent and 121 percent , respectively , of the targets for the entire period , while textiles and other light industries received only 50 percent and 42 percent , respec- tively , of their planned investment ( Balassa 1990 ) . These ...
Pagina 23
... percent in the period 1974-82 to 35 percent in 1983-88 . Commercial banks were required to extend at least 35 percent of their loans to small and medium- sized firms to compensate for the effects of the earlier policy . Interest rates ...
... percent in the period 1974-82 to 35 percent in 1983-88 . Commercial banks were required to extend at least 35 percent of their loans to small and medium- sized firms to compensate for the effects of the earlier policy . Interest rates ...
Pagina 25
... percent in 1964 to just over 10 percent in 1988 , offset by the rise in manufacturing ( which doubled its share of output over this period ) and , to a lesser degree , services ( figure 2.5 ) . The share of exports in GDP increased from ...
... percent in 1964 to just over 10 percent in 1988 , offset by the rise in manufacturing ( which doubled its share of output over this period ) and , to a lesser degree , services ( figure 2.5 ) . The share of exports in GDP increased from ...
Pagina 28
... percent of the manufacturing capital stock in 1970 ( Westphal and Kim 1982 ) . Indeed , FDI flows into South Korea were small relative to those experienced by other developing countries such as Brazil , Mexico , and Taiwan , and there ...
... percent of the manufacturing capital stock in 1970 ( Westphal and Kim 1982 ) . Indeed , FDI flows into South Korea were small relative to those experienced by other developing countries such as Brazil , Mexico , and Taiwan , and there ...
Pagina 29
... percent annually between 1960 and 1973 , with 1.6 percentage points of this explained by human capital accumulation and the remaining 2.4 percentage points a pure productivity increase . Looking at a slightly longer and more recent ...
... percent annually between 1960 and 1973 , with 1.6 percentage points of this explained by human capital accumulation and the remaining 2.4 percentage points a pure productivity increase . Looking at a slightly longer and more recent ...
Sommario
The Bubble Story | 191 |
The Crisis | 196 |
PostCrisis Developments | 209 |
Recovery | 235 |
Conclusions | 237 |
The Prospect for Successful Reform in the North | 239 |
Reform in the North | 240 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Reform | 254 |
10 | |
12 | |
17 | |
45 | |
47 | |
49 | |
61 | |
70 | |
75 | |
121 | |
128 | |
131 | |
133 | |
The Agreed Framework | 139 |
The Suspect Site and the Missile Test | 146 |
Evaluation | 154 |
The SlowMotion Famine in the North | 159 |
The Food Balance | 168 |
Food for Peace | 170 |
The Peoples Republic of Misery | 179 |
The Financial Crisis in the South | 183 |
Financial Fragility | 187 |
The Likelihood of Reform | 269 |
The Implications of North Korean Collapse | 273 |
The German Experience | 274 |
Relevance to Korea | 283 |
A General Equilibrium Perspective on Collapse and Absorption | 289 |
Conceptualizing the Costs and Benefits of Unification | 295 |
Dynamic Results | 298 |
Policy Lessons of the German Experience for South Korea | 306 |
Thinking Beyond the German Case | 308 |
Can the North Muddle Through? | 311 |
Socialism in One Family | 312 |
Muddling Through in Our Own Style | 321 |
Sustainability | 330 |
Conclusions | 335 |
North Korea | 336 |
South Korea | 340 |
Other Actors | 355 |
Final Thoughts | 363 |
References | 365 |
Appendix | 389 |
Index | 393 |
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activities agencies Other humanitarian Agreed Framework agreement agricultural announced argues assets capita income centrally planned chaebol chapter China Chinese collapse countries Daewoo debt decline demand diplomatic domestic DPRK East German Eberstadt economic reform enterprises estimates exchange rate exports external famine figure financial sector firms foreign Fund growth Hanbo humanitarian aid KEDO Hyundai IAEA imports increase industrial interest rates investment investors issue Japan Japanese KFTC Kim Dae-jung Kim Il-sung Kim Jong-il Kim Young-sam Korean peninsula Korean Unification labor liberalization loans macroeconomic ment military million missile National negotiations Noland North Korean economy North Korean won nuclear program OECD official output percent political problems production Pyongyang Rajin-Sonbong reactors regime relations relatively reported reportedly restructuring Romania scenario Seoul share significant South Korean banks South Korean government tion tons trade United Washington World Food Program